Table 2 Regression coefficients and odds ratios of the predictors selected by the final model and their associated 95% Bayesian credible intervals (CI)

EVI_3

1.5872

(− 0.3861, 3.5926)

4.8913

(0.6799, 36.3362)

LST_delta_2

0.1812

(0.1098, 0.2527)*

1.1987

(1.1161, 1.2876)*

TWI

0.0535

(0.0048, 0.1017)*

1.0550

(1.0048, 1.1071)*

PET

0.0028

(0.0009, 0.0048)*

1.0028

(1.0009, 1.0048)*

CHIRPS_1

0.0023

(0.0010, 0.0037)*

1.0023

(1.0010, 1.0037)*

Accessibility

0.0020

(0.0009, 0.0031)*

1.0020

(1.0009, 1.0031)*

CHIRPS_3

0.0004

(−0.0010, 0.0018)

1.0004

(0.9990, 1.0018)

AI

0.0001

(0.0000, 0.0002)

1.0001

(1.0000, 1.0002)

DistToWater

0.0000

(0.0000, 0.0001)

1.0000

(1.0000, 1.0001)

Slope

0.0000

(0.0000, 0.0000)

1.0000

(1.0000, 1.0000)

Elevation

−0.0015

(−0.0022, − 0.0009)*

0.9985

(0.9978, 0.9991)*

CHIRPS_0

−0.0020

(−0.0036, − 0.0004)*

0.9980

(0.9964, 0.9996)*

LST_delta_1

−0.0111

(−0.0944, 0.0721)

0.9889

(0.9099, 1.0748)

Stable_Lights_2010

−0.0274

(−0.0801, 0.0218)

0.9730

(0.9231, 1.0221)

LST_delta_3

−0.0532

(−0.1173, 0.0106)

0.9482

(0.8894, 1.0106)

LST_delta_0

−0.0540

(−0.1360, 0.0281)

0.9475

(0.8729, 1.0285)

TCB_2

−1.7339

(−5.2983, 1.8037)

0.1765

(0.0050, 6.0672)

TCW_3

−5.9884

(−10.7712, − 1.2680)*

0.0025

(0.0000, 0.2813)*

Intercept

−11.5150

(−15.6992, −7.5190)

0.0000

(0.0000, 0.0005)