Fig. 4
From: Neighbourhood level real-time forecasting of dengue cases in tropical urban Singapore

Aggregate ROC curves for forecast windows at 1, 2, 4, 8 and 12 weeks for classification of actual high- and low-risk neighbourhoods, aggregated over out-of-sample forecasts in 2016. The corresponding AUC values are marked. Because the bootstrap confidence intervals are very narrow, only average ROC curves are presented on this graph. AUC area under the ROC curve, ROC receiver operating characteristic