Fig. 4
From: A dynamic neural network model for predicting risk of Zika in real time
Country prediction accuracy by forecast window. Panel a illustrates the actual relative risk level assigned to each country at Epi week 40 for a fixed classification scheme, R = 0.2. Panels b–e each correspond to different forecast windows, specifically b N = 1, c N = 2, d N = 4, e N = 8, and f N = 12. The inset shown by the small rectangle highlights the actual and predicted risk in the Caribbean islands. For panels b–e, the red indicates a correctly predicted high-risk country and green indicates a correctly predicted low-risk country. Light gray indicates an incorrectly predicted high-risk country, and dark gray indicates an incorrectly predicted low-risk country. The risk indicator used is case counts