Table 1 Parameter posterior summaries of the refitted model for Madagascar
From: Mapping malaria seasonality in Madagascar using health facility data
Description | Term | Posterior median | 95% credible interval |
|---|---|---|---|
Intercept | Intercept | − 2.655 | (− 2.740,− 2.570) |
Precipitation | CHIRPS_r | 0.060 | (0.029,0.090) |
CHIRPS_r_lag1 | 0.019 | (− 0.012,0.050) | |
CHIRPS_r_lag2 | 0.051 | (0.021,0.082) | |
CHIRPS_r_lag3 | 0.053 | (0.022,0.084) | |
Temperature suitability | TSI_Pv_r | 0.013 | (− 0.022,0.047) |
TSI_Pv_r_lag2 | 0.074 | (0.039,0.109) | |
Vegetation cover | EVI_r_lag3 | 0.006 | (− 0.021,0.032) |
Tasselled cap brightness | TCB_r | − 0.019 | (− 0.050,0.012) |
TCB_r_lag3 | 0.011 | (− 0.020,0.043) | |
Observation variance | \(\sigma _{e}^{2}\) | 0.326 | (0.318,0.333) |
Field variance | \(\sigma _{f}^{2}\) | 0.245 | (0.221,0.268) |
Matérn scaling parameter | κ | 3.163 | (2.834,3.522) |
Autoregressive parameter | a | 0.756 | (0.718,0.777) |