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Table 3 Change in mean BMI in the adult population (2018 to 2040) in six specified local authorities, following implementation of takeaway management zones in 2018

From: Health impacts of takeaway management zones around schools in six different local authorities across England: a public health modelling study using PRIMEtime

Local authority

Baseline obesity level (%)a

Estimated change in BMI (kg/m2)

Wandsworth

14.4

 − 0.30 (− 0.23, − 0.38)

Manchester

25.4

 − 0.68 (− 0.62, − 0.75)

Sheffield

25.3

 − 0.52 (− 0.42, − 0.61)

Blackburn with Darwen

23.0

 − 0.38 (− 0.23, − 0.53)

North Somerset

23.0

 − 0.10 (− 0.08, − 0.11)

Fenland

40.1

 − 0.08 (− 0.05, − 0.11)

  1. Trajectories of BMI were assumed to change until 2031 and then stabilise between 2031 and 2040
  2. The intervention was based on a realistic scenario where new takeaway growth reduces by 50% each year following the intervention
  3. aPercentage of adults aged 18 + who are living with obesity
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BMC Medicine

ISSN: 1741-7015

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