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Table 2 Incidence rate ratios (IRR) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) estimated with Poisson regression. The Akaike information criteria (AIC) is reported as measure of the goodness-of-fit for each model

From: Long COVID and its risk factors in migrants: a nationwide register study from Sweden

 

M0

AIC: 56284

M1

AIC: 52473

M2

AIC: 52187

M3

AIC: 36788

M4

AIC: 49128

M5

AIC: 52317

M6

AIC: 35292

IRR (95%C)

IRR (95%CI)

IRR (95%CI)

IRR (95%CI)

IRR (95%CI)

IRR (95%CI)

IRR (95%CI)

Country/region of origin

 Sweden

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

 East Europe

1.45 (1.30–1.61)

1.44 (1.29–1.60)

1.43 (1.29–1.59)

0.96 (0.87–1.05)

1.16 (1.05–1.29)

1.36 (1.22–1.51)

0.92 (0.83–1.01)

 Finland

2.33 (1.97–2.75)

1.36 (1.15–1.61)

1.34 (1.13–1.58)

0.95 (0.81–1.10)

1.29 (1.09–1.53)

1.31 (1.11–1.55)

0.93 (0.80–1.08)

 Horn of Africa

0.77 (0.61–0.97)

1.04 (0.82–1.31)

1.03 (0.82–1.30)

0.55 (0.44–0.68)

0.88 (0.70–1.11)

0.93 (0.74–1.17)

0.54 (0.43–0.68)

 Middle East

1.21 (1.09–1.34)

1.34 (1.20–1.48)

1.33 (1.20–1.48)

0.76 (0.69–0.83)

1.06 (0.95–1.17)

1.18 (1.06–1.31)

0.71 (0.65–0.78)

 North America

1.02 (0.64–1.62)

1.13 (0.71–1.80)

1.13 (0.71–1.80)

0.86 (0.55–1.34)

1.03 (0.65–1.64)

1.08 (0.68–1.72)

0.83 (0.54–1.30)

 Other Africa

1.25 (0.99–1.58)

1.48 (1.17–1.87)

1.47 (1.17–1.85)

0.84 (0.67–1.05)

1.24 (0.99–1.57)

1.37 (1.09–1.73)

0.79 (0.63–0.99)

 Other Asia

1.10 (0.92–1.32)

1.35 (1.13–1.62)

1.35 (1.12–1.62)

0.83 (0.70–0.99)

1.27 (1.06–1.52)

1.26 (1.05–1.51)

0.81 (0.68–0.97)

 Other Nordic

1.17 (0.91–1.51)

0.98 (0.76–1.26)

0.97 (0.76–1.25)

0.96 (0.75–1.23)

0.96 (0.75–1.24)

0.94 (0.73–1.21)

0.98 (0.77–1.26)

 South America

1.60 (1.32–1.93)

1.53 (1.27–1.85)

1.54 (1.27–1.86)

1.02 (0.85–1.23)

1.37 (1.14–1.66)

1.46 (1.21–1.77)

0.96 (0.80–1.14)

 South Asia

0.83 (0.66–1.04)

1.28 (1.03–1.59)

1.28 (1.03–1.59)

0.77 (0.62–0.95)

1.13 (0.91–1.41)

1.16 (0.94–1.45)

0.75 (0.61–0.93)

 West Europe

1.10 (0.91–1.33)

1.17 (0.97–1.42)

1.17 (0.97–1.42)

1.08 (0.89–1.30)

1.08 (0.90–1.31)

1.14 (0.94–1.38)

1.04 (0.87–1.26)

Sex

 Female

 

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

 Male

 

1.01 (0.93–1.10)

1.00 (0.92–1.09)

0.75 (0.71–0.80)

0.96 (0.88–1.05)

1.02 (0.94–1.11)

0.74 (0.70–0.78)

Age category

 (18,25]

 

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

 (25,30]

 

2.12 (1.68–2.67)

2.12 (1.68–2.66)

1.95 (1.56–2.43)

2.24 (1.83–2.75)

2.12 (1.69–2.67)

1.86 (1.55–2.24)

 (30,35]

 

2.15 (1.72–2.68)

2.15 (1.72–2.68)

1.97 (1.59–2.43)

2.40 (1.97–2.93)

2.25 (1.80–2.81)

1.91 (1.59–2.30)

 (35,40]

 

3.32 (2.65–4.17)

3.31 (2.64–4.16)

3.05 (2.46–3.79)

3.87 (3.17–4.71)

3.61 (2.88–4.53)

3.03 (2.53–3.62)

 (40,45]

 

4.17 (3.27–5.33)

4.16 (3.26–5.31)

3.58 (2.83–4.53)

4.78 (3.91–5.84)

4.63 (3.64–5.90)

3.50 (2.93–4.20)

 (45,50]

 

5.70 (4.57–7.10)

5.65 (4.54–7.04)

4.17 (3.41–5.11)

6.34 (5.18–7.75)

6.37 (5.14–7.90)

4.00 (3.40–4.71)

 (50,55]

 

6.62 (5.33–8.22)

6.54 (5.27–8.11)

4.16 (3.43–5.03)

7.25 (5.86–8.95)

7.34 (5.94–9.08)

3.98 (3.39–4.68)

 (55,60]

 

8.48 (6.82–10.55)

8.30 (6.68–10.31)

4.38 (3.64–5.28)

9.33 (7.51–11.61)

9.21 (7.44–11.41)

4.24 (3.61–4.98)

 (60,65]

 

10.52 (8.38–13.19)

10.16 (8.12–12.72)

3.97 (3.28–4.79)

11.25 (8.97–14.13)

11.09 (8.90–13.82)

3.87 (3.28–4.56)

 (65,70]

 

13.61 (10.85–17.07)

12.78 (10.21–16.01)

3.36 (2.76–4.08)

14.95 (11.97–18.68)

13.31 (10.65–16.63)

3.48 (2.92–4.15)

 (70,75]

 

16.17 (12.81–20.41)

14.64 (11.62–18.43)

2.96 (2.43–3.61)

18.86 (15.01–23.69)

13.87 (10.99–17.52)

3.36 (2.81–4.03)

 (75,80]

 

18.31 (14.32–23.40)

15.88 (12.43–20.28)

2.76 (2.24–3.39)

22.03 (17.50–27.74)

14.86 (11.57–19.07)

3.29 (2.72–3.97)

 (80,85]

 

13.92 (10.58–18.33)

11.78 (8.99–15.43)

2.19 (1.74–2.75)

17.38 (13.53–22.34)

10.88 (8.21–14.42)

2.70 (2.19–3.34)

 (85,120]

 

8.06 (5.85–11.10)

6.92 (5.10–9.40)

1.55 (1.20–1.99)

10.26 (7.67–13.71)

6.06 (4.34–8.47)

1.95 (1.53–2.50)

Charlson index

 0

  

1 (ref)

   

1 (ref)

 1

  

2.67 (2.27–3.16)

   

1.49 (1.28–1.72)

 2 + 

  

2.60 (2.24–3.02)

   

1.26 (1.10–1.44)

C19 disease severity

 Confirmed case

   

1 (ref)

  

1 (ref)

 Hospitalized

   

18.56 (17.3–19.9)

  

14.8 (13.9–15.8)

 Intensive care

   

120.4 (111.7–129.8)

  

89.9 (83.8–96.7)

Vaccine status

 No vaccine

    

1 (ref)

 

1 (ref)

 Post-infection vaccine

    

1.02 (0.93–1.10)

 

1.17 (1.09–1.26)

 Pre-infection vaccine 1

    

0.70 (0.61–0.82)

 

1.00 (0.87–1.14)

 Pre-infection vaccine 2

    

0.22 (0.19–0.25)

 

0.37 (0.33–0.41)

 Pre-infection vaccine 3

    

0.17 (0.15–0.19)

 

0.33 (0.30–0.38)

Disposable income quartiles

 Q1

     

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

 Q2

     

0.87 (0.78–0.97)

1.02 (0.94–1.10)

 Q3

     

0.81 (0.73–0.90)

1.03 (0.96–1.12)

 Q4

     

0.69 (0.61–0.78)

0.93 (0.86–1.02)

Education

 Primary

     

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

 Secondary

     

0.92 (0.83–1.02)

1.05 (0.97–1.12)

 Post-secondary

     

0.92 (0.83–1.02)

1.18 (1.09–1.28)

 Unknown

     

0.81 (0.65–1.00)

0.85 (0.69–1.05)

Occupational skill levela

 3,4

     

1 (ref)

1 (ref)

 2

     

0.93 (0.84–1.04)

0.95 (0.88–1.01)

 1

     

0.92 (0.79–1.07)

0.82 (0.72–0.94)

 AF

     

0.54 (0.20–1.42)

0.55 (0.21–1.45)

 X

     

1.16 (1.04–1.29)

0.86 (0.79–0.93)

  1. a3,4: managers, professionals, technicians, and associate professionals; 2: clerical, service, and sales workers, skilled agricultural, forestry and fishery worker, craft and related trade workers, and plant and machine operators, and assemblers; 1: elementary occupations; AF: armed forces; X: not elsewhere classified