Table 3 Sensitivity analysis over the 5, 10, 20, 30 years and lifetime time horizon of health behaviour intervention from a societal perspective
From: Long-term cost-effectiveness of health behaviour intervention to manage type 2 diabetes in Nepal
Categories | 5-Year horizon | 10-Year horizon | 20-Year horizon | 30-Year horizon | Lifetime time horizon |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ICER (95%CI)* | ICER (95%CI)* | ICER (95%CI)* | ICER (95%CI)* | ICER (95%CI)* | |
Sub-group | |||||
 Peer support | 3505 (2887 to 4123) | 1291 (1063 to 1518) | 528 (435 to 622) | 422 (347 to 496) | 427 (352 to 503) |
 Intensive training | 6458 (5318 to 7597) | 2364 (1947 to 2781) | 962 (792 to 1132) | 778 (641 to 915) | 1130 (931 to 1329) |
 Phone call | 2992 (2464 to 3519) | 1104 (909 to 1299) | 452 (372 to 532) | 358 (295 to 421) | 287 (237 to 338) |
Scenario-I | |||||
 Base case prevalence −10% | 9608 (7913 to 11,302) | 2759 (2273 to 3246) | 1110 (914 to 1306) | 888 (731 to 1044) | 1313 (1082 to 1545) |
 Base case prevalence −30% | 9601 (7907 to 11,295) | 3046 (2508 to 3583) | 1212 (998 to 1425) | 949 (782 to 1116) | 1375 (1132 to 1617) |
 Base case prevalence −50% | 14,398 (11,858 to 16,937) | 3852 (3172 to 4531) | 1380 (1136 to 1623) | 1038 (855 to 1221) | 1475 (1215 to 1735) |
Scenario-II | |||||
 Undiscounted | 7421 (6111 to 8730) | 2597 (2138 to 3055) | 1073 (884 to 1262) | 866 (713 to 1018) | 1291 (1063 to 1518) |
 Discounting 4% | 2962 (2439 to 3484) | 2857 (2353 to 3361) | 2806 (2311 to 3301) | 2876 (2379 to 3384) | 2879 (2371 to 3386) |
 Discounting 5% | 2908 (2395 to 3421) | 2918 (2403 to 3432) | 2936 (2418 to 3454) | 2904 (2392 to 3416) | 2858 (2354 to 3362) |
One-way | |||||
 Costs (Lower CI) | 5793 (4771 to 6815) | 2119 (1745 to 2493) | 861 (709 to 1012) | 696 (573 to 819) | 1037 (854 to 1220) |
 Costs (Upper CI) | 8617 (7097 to 10,137) | 3152 (2596 to 3708) | 1280 (1054 to 1506) | 1036 (853 to 1218) | 1543 (1271 to 1815) |
 QALY (Lower CI) | 9606 (7912 to 11,301) | 3222 (2653 to 3790) | 1341 (1105 to 1578) | 1077 (887 to 1266) | 1606 (1322 to 1889) |
 QALY (Upper CI) | −930 (−656 to −1093) | 2230 (1837 to 2624) | 891 (734 to 1048) | 724 (596 to 851) | 1078 (888 to 1268) |
Two-way | |||||
 Costs and QALY (Lower CIs) | 7724 (6361 to 9086) | 2590 (2133 to 3047) | 1078 (888 to 1268) | 866 (713 to 1019) | 1291 (1063 to 1519) |
 Costs and QALY (Upper CIs) | −1112 (−916 to −1308) | 2667 (2180 to 3114) | 1065 (877 to 1253) | 865 (713 to 1019) | 1289 (1062 to 1517) |