Table 2 Estimated relative differences in cumulative deaths per million during the first COVID-19 wave, compared to observed number of deaths, if the response of country had been delayed by 1 day or by 3 days. A factor above 1 indicates an increase in deaths with the counterfactual response, while a factor below 1 indicates a decrease
Country | Multiplication factor of cumulative deaths compared to the actual response, median (95% CrI) | |
|---|---|---|
One-day delay of response | Three-day delay of response | |
Belgium | 1.2 (0.9–1.6) | 2.2 (1.7–3.0) |
Denmark | 1.2 (0.7–2.1) | 2.0 (1.1–3.7) |
Germany | 1.3 (0.9–1.8) | 2.4 (1.7–3.6) |
Netherlands | 1.2 (0.9–1.6) | 2.3 (1.7–3.1) |
Sweden | 1.2 (0.8–1.8) | 2.0 (1.3–3.1) |
UK | 1.1 (0.9–1.4) | 1.8 (1.5–2.3) |